Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.067554 0.076089 0.084796 0.094313 0.104392 0.114723 0.126083
2025-08-24 0.051400 0.063622 0.076698 0.091593 0.107962 0.125291 0.144911
2025-08-31 0.040758 0.054922 0.070713 0.089312 0.110340 0.133133 0.159472
2025-09-07 0.034714 0.050375 0.068451 0.090320 0.115585 0.143450 0.176123
2025-09-14 0.030408 0.047248 0.067299 0.092119 0.121309 0.153955 0.192672
2025-09-21 0.027839 0.045887 0.067949 0.095765 0.128942 0.166445 0.211307
2025-09-28 0.024543 0.043218 0.066708 0.096908 0.133447 0.175195 0.225562
2025-10-05 0.024485 0.044753 0.070651 0.104293 0.145305 0.192424 0.249517
2025-10-12 0.021027 0.041322 0.068043 0.103430 0.147157 0.197895 0.259845
2025-10-19 0.019006 0.039696 0.067614 0.105150 0.152022 0.206817 0.274104
2025-10-26 0.016768 0.037526 0.066304 0.105627 0.155272 0.213757 0.285996
2025-11-02 0.015201 0.036205 0.066024 0.107335 0.159967 0.222366 0.299805
2025-11-09 0.013216 0.034143 0.064762 0.107901 0.163469 0.229845 0.312679
2025-11-16 0.010434 0.030419 0.060946 0.104958 0.162483 0.231874 0.319096
2025-11-23 0.008175 0.027216 0.057633 0.102497 0.161960 0.234355 0.325963
2025-11-30 0.007043 0.025896 0.056995 0.103584 0.165913 0.242256 0.339280
2025-12-07 0.006222 0.025056 0.057012 0.105524 0.170932 0.251449 0.354140
2025-12-14 0.005878 0.025154 0.058464 0.109452 0.178533 0.263834 0.372864
2025-12-21 0.005065 0.024101 0.058029 0.110683 0.182580 0.271801 0.386239
2025-12-28 0.005514 0.025964 0.062303 0.118622 0.195468 0.290785 0.413003
2026-01-04 0.004417 0.024056 0.060394 0.117694 0.196642 0.295163 0.422025
2026-01-11 0.003880 0.023381 0.060446 0.119541 0.201460 0.304075 0.436555
2026-01-18 0.003214 0.022218 0.059611 0.120054 0.204471 0.310703 0.448288